Middle East expert Juan Cole has printed a communication he has received from an observer inside Baghdad. The picture they paint is one of rapidly deteriorating security condiditons, with parts of the city now under rebel control.

The situation has deteriorated in Baghdad dramatically today. Five neighborhoods (hay) in Baghdad are controlled by insurgents, and they are Amiraya, Ghazilya, Shurta, Yarmouk and Doura. It is very bad. My guys there report that cars have come into these neighborhoods and blocked off the streets. Masked gunmen with AKs and other weapons are roaming these areas, announcing that people should stay home. One of my drivers in Amiraya reports that his neighborhood is shut down totally, and even those who need food or provisions are warned not to go out.

Those who have the means are fleeing the city;

More and more of even the most patriotic intelligentsia are departing. The situation is dire, and those with escape valves are using them. [Some organizations are]sending more of [their] staff to Arbil and Sulamaniyah and out of Baghdad. Until about March this year, [some] thought that there was a chance of returning to Baghdad. It is remarkable how incapable this government is. Its only success is that it exists at all.

Even the Green Zone is no longer safe, though business there continues as usual.

In the meantime, the embassy people act as if nothing in Baghdad is wrong (except that they cannot walk in the Green Zone without body armor and they have to take precautions against kidnapping). Recently, a group from State and the military parachuted in from Washington [with fatuous advice] . . . It is a fantasy world.

Could the administration effort in Iraq be as incompetent as their relief efforts for Katrina? This is a possibility than can’t be lightly dismissed.

Perhaps a staffer should make up a DVD for Bush to catch him up on the news in Iraq.